China's Economy Linked to Pretty Girls and Stars

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US Inflation Low

U.S. consumer prices posted their smallest increase in five months during November, a sign that there is little threat of inflation for the time being.
Wednesday's report from the Labor Department showed the Consumer Price Index rose just one-tenth of a percent in November, which is less than the previous month.
Low inflation is one result of the slow economy. High unemployment restrains wages because it increases competition for jobs, and makes workers more willing to take lower pay. And the high rate of foreclosures means more homes are put on the rental market, which means landlords must cut rental costs to attract tenants.
U.S. economic problems are at the top of the agenda today in Washington, as President Barack Obama meets with the leaders of many major companies, exchanging ideas on boosting growth and cutting unemployment.

China Struggles to Tackle Inflation

Heda Bayron | Hong Kong 14 December 2010

A customer picks up a plastic bag of peppers at a fruit and vegetable market in Beijing (file photo - 17 Nov 2010)

Chinese economic authorities have signaled that fighting rising prices will be their top priority next year.

China's government set an average inflation rate target this year of 3 percent, but some economists expect the rate to top that figure. Last month, inflation rose to 5.1 percent from 4.4 percent in October.

Shen Jianguang, an economist at Mizuho Securities in Hong Kong, expects prices to continue rising.

"Likely November will see the peak of inflation for this year," Shen said. "But actually next year, in the first half, we're probably going to see even higher inflation."

Food prices jumped the most in November, partly because of bad crops and higher costs for transporting them.

At the end of a three-day national economic conference Sunday, the government signaled it would take more steps to tame inflation. No details were mentioned, but authorities could impose price controls on food commodities to help consumers, as they have done in the past.

But what policy makers seem to find harder to tackle is price pressure that comes from the banking side. In the past several months, China has been trying to undo the effects of runaway lending and investment that resulted from its massive economic stimulus package in 2009. That helped drive up prices of property, stocks and basic commodities.

China set a target of 7.5 trillion yuan, or $1.1 trillion, in new loans this year, much lower than it was in 2009. But in the first 11 months of the year, total new loans nearly reached that figure.

Banks have been told to hold more and more of their deposits as reserves to cut back on lending.

Shen says the central bank is likely to take a combination of actions, including more interest rate increases in the next few months and lowering the loan quota for next year.

But he says as long as Chinese savers get less for their money if they keep it in bank deposits than from investing in property or stocks, inflation will remain a challenge.

"We have inflation to 5 percent but the one-year deposit rate is only at 2.5 percent, so the gap is rising," Shen added. "So I think the most important thing is to close the negative interest gap so that people will be more comfortable in putting money in bank accounts rather than trying to find other types of investment vehicles like housing that actually fuel demand and stimulate further inflation."

Stephen Roach, the former head of Asia operations for the investment bank Morgan Stanley and a Yale University professor, says inflation distracts Chinese authorities from making the shift from an export-oriented to a consumption-led economy.

"The longer policy makers wait to address inflation the tougher it would be to deal with the structural issues," Roach said. "My advice is to move quickly and aggressively to deal with inflation so that you can get on with the most important transition in China, which is stimulation of private consumption."

The re-balancing of China's economy has long-term implications in narrowing its surplus with its trading partners, such as the United States, and ultimately in rebalancing the global economy.

Inflation presents not only economic risks, but also political ones in China. A sharp rise in prices for basic goods - such as food and housing could lead to public protests. China political experts say the ruling Communist Party is eager to make sure that does not happen.

But clamping down too hard to fight inflation could slow growth sharply, and lead to rising unemployment - also a political problem.

With the government tightening the amount of money for lending, China's economy is expected to slow in 2011. That too would have implications on economies that trade with China. On Monday, the South Korean central bank governor said he is watching China's inflation and its potential effects in his country.

US Senate Set for Tax Deal Vote

VOA News 14 December 2010

U.S. senators are holding a final debate on a bill to extend income tax cuts passed under former President George W. Bush.

The Senate scheduled a Wednesday vote on the $858-billion measure, which represents a controversial compromise between President Barack Obama and Republican lawmakers.

If the bill passes as expected, it would move on to the House of Representatives, where many members of Mr. Obama's Democratic Party are upset about the compromise, which they say is too generous to the wealthy.

President Obama and Democratic lawmakers originally had hoped to extend tax cuts for individuals only on the first $200,000 they earned in a year, and for families on their first $250,000. But Republicans were adamant that all cuts should be extended.

House Democratic leader Steny Hoyer told reporters Monday he expects the House to pass the bill.

The Bush-era tax cuts are set to expire at the end of the year. The new measure would extend them for two years.

The package also extends jobless benefits for the long-term unemployed for 13 months, imposes a 2 percent cut in payroll taxes, and sets a 35 percent tax rate for multi-million-dollar estates.

House Democrats have been pushing for an estate tax rate of 45 percent.

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Microsoft Advertising adCenter Fall 2010 Upgrade includes a number of key updates that focus on giving you improved business insight, better campaign management and more convenience. Many of these new features are just what you’ve asked for, and they’re designed specifically to help you get the most from your search advertising spend.

October features for the Fall 2010 Upgrade:
 

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